Mandating the Smallpox Vaccine: Benefits and Risks in the 21st Century

 

 

 

 

 

Prepared by

Matthew Haglund

 

 

 

 

 

May 2, 2005

 

 

 

Table of Contents

Executive Summary …………………………………………………………………… i

Abstract    …………………………………………………………………………… 1

Introduction      …………………………………………………………………………… 2

Results

History of Smallpox Vaccination and Their Respective Programs     …………………… 3

Background Information on Smallpox Virus and Symptoms …………………………… 5

Information on the Smallpox Vaccine …………………………………………… 6

Complications of Vaccination  …………………………………………………………… 8

Conclusions

Smallpox Vaccination Should be Voluntary in the 21st Century      ……………………11

Glossary    ……………………………………………………………………………13

Bibliography      ……………………………………………………………………………14

Illustrations

Victim of Smallpox      …………………………………………………………………… 3

Progressive Vaccinia    ……………………………………………………………………10

 

Mandating the Smallpox Vaccine: Benefits and Risks in the 21st Century

 

Executive Summary

Smallpox has been eradicated from the natural world since 1977 (Kiang, 2003).  However, the recent terrorist attacks on America have awakened fears that, if in the wrong hands, laboratory samples of the smallpox virus could be used in a biological “bomb”.  The United States reinstituted a limited revaccination program in 2002, beginning with workers at the Department of Defense, military personnel, and medical first responders (“Protecting Americans”, 2002).  To date, over 600,000 Americans have been revaccinated (Eckart, 2004).  Enough vaccine has been purchased by the government for everyone currently living in the United States (“Smallpox Fact Sheet”, 2005).

      Smallpox was known to kill almost 30% of those it affected, and scared or blinded those who survived (“Position Statement on Smallpox Vaccination Programs”, 2003).  Caused by the virus variola, it is one of the most deadly diseases ever known to mankind.  Some experts estimate that more people have been killed throughout human history by smallpox than by any other cause (Napolitano, 2004).  The virus is expelled from a victim via respiratory droplets and later inhaled, causing infection (Cassimatis, 2003).  Affecting the face and arms first and later the torso, smallpox infection results in large, virus shedding pustules covering the entire body.  After a month long fight with the disease, the victim either dies or recovers.  Survivors will be left with horrible scars, caused by the receding pustules (Tennyson, 2004).  Because of the severity of and misery caused by the disease, the World Health Organization organized efforts to eradicate smallpox from the natural world through vaccination.  They were successful, and in 1977, the last know case of smallpox occurred in Somalia (Artenstein, 2005).

      The smallpox vaccine was invented in 1796 by English doctor Edward Jenner (Lorrich, 2004).  While Jenner’s vaccine used the mild cowpox virus to immunize the masses, modern smallpox vaccines uses the somewhat similar vaccinia virus instead (Fang, 2005).  Unlike many common vaccines today, the smallpox vaccine actually uses a live virus (vaccinia), not a chemically or mechanically killed one (Tennyson, 2004).  This means that vaccination causes an infection by vaccinia, resulting in immunity to infection from smallpox.  Due to this fact, many serious side effects associated with smallpox vaccination.

      Besides typical swelling at the vaccination site and fever, life threatening side effects may occur after receiving the vaccine.  Past studies have shown that around 1 person per 20,000 has a serious side effect due to vaccination (“Smallpox Fact Sheet”, 2005).  These may include spreading of the virus (progressive vaccinia), heart problems (myopericarditis) or brain swelling (encephalitis) (Plaut, 2003).  Of those suffering serious side effects, it is likely that 1 per 500,000 would die as a result (“Reactions after Smallpox Vaccination”, 2005).

      Smallpox in the hands of terrorists certainly does pose a threat to the American public, but a smallpox revaccination campaign has the potential to be even more deadly.  Of the almost 300,000,000 people living in the United States, vaccination would likely kill more than 1,000.  This seems like an unnecessary risk for an event that may never occur.  It is therefore recommended that the revaccination program remain completely voluntary, and that thorough prescreening is in place to prevent side effects in those who choose to be vaccinated

Mandating the Smallpox Vaccine: Benefits and Risks in the 21st Century

Abstract

      Public Health Assessment Corporation, in response to MN Research Corporation research proposal F99-W2000, has lead a thorough investigation concerning the safety and possible reinstitution of the smallpox vaccine for public use.  Over the past few months, lead research Matthew Haglund has studied extensively both the smallpox virus and the history of its vaccine.  In doing so, he has created a definitive source on the topic, designed to reeducate the scientific community and the public on this somewhat forgotten disease.

Smallpox is a deadly and highly contagious disease from the orthopox genus of viruses.  Although it is no longer a natural threat, the recent terrorist attacks on America have again brought fears of the virus to light.  There has been considerable talk in Washington of possibly reinstating the smallpox vaccination program, thus making public vaccination mandatory.  While the smallpox vaccine is considered by the medical community to be an acceptably safe and effective means of protection, the possibility of serious side effects due to vaccination must be considered.  Heart problems, spread on the vaccine to other parts of the body, and even death would occur in significant numbers during a modern precautionary vaccination program.  The researcher therefore recommends that preemptive vaccination remain completely voluntary, with extensive pre-vaccine eligibility screening for those wanting the vaccine.

 

 

 

Introduction

      The smallpox virus was one of the deadliest diseases to ever plague humankind.  Due to its high mortality rate, the World Health Organization began an intense campaign to eradicate it from nature starting in the 1960s.  With the last known case occurring in Somalia in 1979, smallpox disappeared from the consciousness of the public and medical communities alike.  Routine childhood vaccination was halted in the 1970s due to the vaccine’s side effects, thus creating a world in which most people have no protection from the now unnatural disease. 

      The 2001 terrorist attacks on America have recently caused a reevaluation of the necessity of smallpox vaccination.  Amid fears that smallpox lab samples from cold war Russia were sold on the black market, the administration of U.S President George W. Bush has considered possible reinstatement of the smallpox vaccination program in the United States.  Since 2001, enough smallpox vaccine has been purchased or produced for every American citizen.

With knowledge of the vaccine and its side effects at an all time low, reeducation of the American public and medical community has become a must.  Firstly, this research project hopes to aid in future decision making concerning the vaccine, by pulling all current information regarding smallpox and vaccination together.  Secondly, it hopes to reinvigorate scientific research on the subject, due to the relatively outdated nature of the facts and figures presented below.  The history of the vaccine, information on the virus and the vaccine, and side effects of vaccination will be presented below.  Recommendations concerning widespread vaccination will be discussed in the conclusion. 

Results

History of Smallpox Vaccination and Their Respective Programs

Until its eradication from the natural world in 1979, smallpox was one of the deadliest diseases known to humankind.  Estimates of mortality rate vary in the literature from 30 percent to up to 50 percent of those infected (Fang, 2005).  The first practical attempt at smallpox vaccination and control was headed by British scientist Edward Jenner in the late 18th century.  After noting the apparent inability of smallpox to infect a person infected with the similar (though much milder) swinepox, Jenner began to experiment with practical vaccines.  He determined that inoculation with non-lethal cowpox was both a reasonably safe and effective means by which to immunize a population (Cassimatis, 2003).  After a successful test of the vaccine in 1796, mass vaccination began in England later that year.  By 1801 over 100,000 Britons were vaccinated using his method (Lorrich, 2004).

      Despite availability of a vaccine, widespread world use was not seen until a new and more effective version using a modified strain of the vaccinia virus (instead of cowpox) was developed in the early twentieth century.  By the 1950s, much of the modernized world had rid itself of the virus.  The last known case in the United States was recorded in 1949 (Yantruali, 2005).  At the World Health Assembly in 1959, plans were drawn up for worldwide eradication of smallpox through the largest and most complex vaccination campaign ever attempted (Lorrich, 2004).  The Smallpox Eradication Unit was soon formed, enforcing mandatory worldwide smallpox vaccination eight years later in 1967 (Fillmore, 2004).  Due to the radical success of the program, routine childhood smallpox vaccination was halted in the United States in 1972.  The last known case of natural smallpox occurred in Somalia in 1977 (Cassimatis, 2003).  After only ten years, a virus that had killed more human beings than all other diseased combined, was erased from the globe.  In 1980, the World Health Organization announced that smallpox was officially eradicated (“Position Statement on Smallpox Vaccination Programs”, 2003).  Vaccination of United States military personnel ended in 1990.

      During the 1990s, only a few hundred scientists and medical personnel working with smallpox in a laboratory setting were vaccinated (“Smallpox Fact Sheet”, 2005).  Smallpox immunization can carry with it significant complications and side effects, so only those still vulnerable were vaccinated.  Since the terrorist attacks in September 2001 and the Anthrax scare in October 2001, this position has changed.  On December 13th, 2002, the administration of President George W. Bush announced the reinstatement of the U.S. Smallpox Vaccination Program (Yanturali, 2005).  Officials feared that smallpox virus was possibly stolen from Soviet labs and sold to terrorists during the cold war and could be used in a biological attack (Kiang, 2003).  At the current time, only first responders, medical personnel and members of the Department of Defense are being vaccinated (Tennyson, 2004).  Since the end of 2002, over 615,000 U.S. citizens have been revaccinated under the plan, making it the largest smallpox vaccination effort since 1977 (Eckart, 2004).  Although officials are still discussing possible options, the government has not recommended the vaccine to the general public.  It should be noted however, that since 2001, enough vaccine has been produced or purchased for every person in the United States (“Smallpox Fact Sheet”, 2005).

Background Information on Smallpox Virus and Symptoms

      Smallpox is an extremely contagious DNA virus belonging to the orthopox genus (Fang, 2005).  Referred to in the scientific community as variola, this virus has almost certainly caused more devastation to humankind than any other single disease or disaster in history (Yanturali, 2005).  Some estimate that more humans have died of smallpox than all other diseases combined (Nepolitano, 2004).  With its mortality rate of almost fifty percent, smallpox ravaged the globe for more than 2 millennia, killing and maiming billions of people (Cassimatis, 2003).  Those that survived were left horribly scarred and disfigured from the force of the smallpox pustules.  It was not uncommon to lose sight or hearing after a bout with the disease.

      The agent of smallpox, the variola virus, is typically spread by respiratory droplets formed during prolonged coughing (Cassimatis, 2003).  The virus can also be contracted from clothing and bed linens infected by weeping pustules.  After entering the respiratory system, the virus soon makes its way to the lymph nodes.  Once there, variola incubates for 7 to 17 days, after which it invades the capillaries of the skin, causing a rash to break out on the face, arms, and legs.  Over the next week, this rash forms lesions that eventually form the classic smallpox pustules and spreads to body trunk.  If the victim survives the disease, the pustules will eventually scab over and fall off, leaving large scars.  Typically, smallpox infection lasts around one month (Tennyson, 2004).  Until the pustules have gone, they continually shed the virus, making the host extremely contagious for up to thirty days (Kiang, 2003).

Ridding the body of smallpox can be a difficult task.  Modern vaccination can be effective even after infection, but treatment becomes difficult in later stages (“Protecting Americans”, 2002).  Death can occur if the throat becomes swollen from the disease and airway is blocked.  More commonly, smallpox has been known to kill its victims due to kidney failure, toxic shock and pneumonia (Cassimatis, 2003).  Survivors face long term complications such as facial scars, nasal damage, ankyloblupharon, ectropion, and the aforementioned vision and hearing loss (Tennyson, 2004).

      Before smallpox was eradicated in 1977, five strains of the variola virus existed in nature.  Variola major was the most common; with mortality rate around thirty percent.  Variola minor was a milder, often non lethal strain used for years as a crude vaccination for variola major.  Three rare strains also existed: two with a mortality of almost one hundred percent and one with a mortality rate of almost zero (Cassimatis, 2003).  Eradication of the disease was possible in part due to the fact that humans are the only known host for variola.  With no fear of animal vectors harboring the virus, smallpox was eventually contained and destroyed (Lorich, 2004).

Information on the Smallpox Vaccine

Prior to the discovery of mutual immunogenicy between the pox viruses by Edward Jenner in the 18th century, smallpox immunization was a brutal and dangerous process.  Through a process known as variolation, the milder, though still deadly, form of smallpox (variola minor) was injected under the skin of healthy patients.  After a relatively mild bout with the disease, the body was protected from the more lethal form (variola major).  The technique was somewhat successful, however many of those variolated developed full blow smallpox as a side effect (Cassimatis, 2003). It wasn’t until Jenner created a vaccine using the cowpox virus that vaccination became both safe and effective. 

Smallpox vaccination has improved markedly since Jenner’s vaccine of 1796.  The cowpox virus of the old vaccine was replaced almost a century ago by a more effective and efficient virus named vaccinia.  Like cowpox, vaccinia shares a common subfamily (chorodopoxvirinae) and genus (orthopoxus) with the smallpox virus variola (Cassimatis, 2003).  This fact that the two viruses share a common ancestor in their evolutionary lines makes them mutually immunogenic to the human body (Fang, 2005).  Once the body comes in contact with one form (i.e. vaccinia), it will remember it, and thus make itself immune to all forms (e.g. variola).  Unlike many other common vaccines, smallpox vaccination must always use a live virus to confer immunity.  Although somewhat modified, today’s vaccines introduce live, active vaccinia into the body.  The virus must then be allowed to replicate for vaccination to be successful (Tennyson, 2004).  The vaccinia smallpox vaccine currently in use by the United States is Dryvax® (Lorich, 2004).  Because Dryvax® uses live animals in its production and has been deemed inhumane, a 21st century alternative known as ACAM2000 is in production as its successor (Artenstein, 2005). 

      The means by which the smallpox vaccine is administered are somewhat unique.  Instead of using a hypodermic needle and injected under the skin, a technique called “multiple-puncture” is utilized.  In multiple-puncture, a bifurcated (two pronged) needle is dipped into the vaccine and jabbed into the upper arm or thigh three times (Kiang).  If blood does not appear on the skin shortly thereafter, the punctures were not deep enough, and the process is repeated.  In the three to four days following a successful vaccination, a red lump appears at the site of vaccination (“Smallpox Fact Sheet”, 2005).  This is caused be vaccinia virus replicating and the body’s immune system responding to its presence.  At this point, the recipient is considered fully vaccinated and immune to smallpox (Kiang, 2003).

      Seven to ten days after initial vaccination, the bump will turn into a pustule.  After two weeks the pustule will scab over and then fall off seven days later.  Under the scab will be a permanent scar left from the immune response (Kiang, 2003).  Because of the live nature of the vaccine, the puncture site must be cared for from the day of vaccination until the scab falls off (Tennyson, 2004).  The site will continuously shed live vaccinia for three weeks and can be spread to others if not properly covered and maintained (“Smallpox Fact Sheet”, 2005).

      The current smallpox vaccine is effective for five to ten years and is successful in 95% of its recipients (Tennyson, 2005).  Although protection drops after the fifth year, the mortality rate of those contracting smallpox within ten years of receiving the vaccine was only one percent.  Even if infection occurs decades after last successful vaccination, the effect on the body is greatly reduced (Kiang, 2003).

Complications of Vaccination

      The smallpox vaccination is considered by the medical community to be safe for most people.  Due to the live nature of the vaccinia virus used in vaccination however, side effects, some common and some serious, do exist.  In most cases, those being vaccinated for the first time (primary vaccinees) are most likely to react to vaccinia.  Considering that over 40% of the United States population falls into this category, a revaccination campaign would likely encounter many of these adverse outcomes (Chen, 2004).

Normal Side Effects

      Normal side effects are common in most people after vaccination.  The site of inoculation typically becomes red and swollen, while glands of the armpit become tender and enlarged after (“Reactions after Smallpox Vaccination”, 2002).  Other typical side effects include a localized rash, headaches, and a sore body (“Smallpox Fact Sheet”, 2005).  In the past, one out of every three recipients of the vaccine ran a fever and felt sick enough to stay home for a day or two (“Reactions Smallpox Vaccination”, 2002).  The length of illness is typically short, while recovery is usually quick.

Serious Side Effects

      The serious side effects that may follow vaccination are grouped into two categories: non-life threatening and life threatening.  It should be noted that while serious side effects may occur in all groups of vaccinees, primary vaccinees are ten times more likely to react adversely (Kiang, 2003).  All figures below refer to those being vaccinated for the first time.

      According to studies conducted in 1968, serious, but non-life threatening side effects typically occur in 1 out of every 1,000 vaccinees (“Smallpox Fact Sheet”, 2005).  These side effects may include a vaccinia rash around the vaccination site, vaccinia rash present on the whole body, and other non-lethal allergic reactions (“Reactions Smallpox Vaccination”, 2002).  While these conditions are easily treatable, more serious and potentially deadly side effects usually occur in around 1 in 20,000 people (“Smallpox Fact Sheet”, 2005). 

Four main types of life threatening post-vaccine conditions have been described over the years: eczema vaccinatum, progressive vaccinia, encephalitis, and myopericarditis.  Eczema vaccinatum is most common, accounting for 75% of potentially life threatening cases.  It occurs in people who have or have had a history of eczema, spreading the vaccinia virus through the body by means of the skin condition (Plaut, 2003).  Progressive vaccinia is a condition characterized by the spreading of live vaccinia to other parts of the body (e.g. eyes, genitals).  As it leaves the vaccination site, it will often cause necrosis of surrounding tissue and serious infection.  Progressive vaccinia is most common in vaccinees with compromised immune systems.  Encephalitis occurs in around 1 in 30,000 vaccinated persons, and is most common in children and infants.  Due to the serious swelling of the brain common in encephalitis, mortality rates are as high a 25% (Tennyson, 2004).  Myopericarditis is an allergic reaction, in this case to vaccinia, in which the heart muscle becomes inflames and functions inefficiently, possibly leading to heart attack and death.  Recently, the subject of post-vaccine myopericarditis has been under intense scrutiny due to the high levels present in the 2002 United States Department of Defense revaccination program (Cassimatis, 2003).  Of the 540,824 DoD workers vaccinated, 62 developed some form of myopericarditis (1 in 8723) (Eckart, 2004).  Four people vaccinated in the 2002 program later died from heart complications (Poland, 2005).  It has been estimated that in a large scale vaccination program, 2 people per 500,000 would die from one of these or other serious complications due to the vaccinia virus (“Smallpox Fact Sheet”, 2005).

In addition to the side effects of the vaccinee, the virus present in the smallpox vaccine can also be accidentally spread to others.  For up to one month, the vaccination site will shed the virus, possibly infecting other household members (Lorich, 2004).  In another very serious, though disturbingly understudied condition known as fetal vaccinia, the virus is spread to the fetus of a pregnant woman through the placenta.  This can result in stillbirth or miscarriage.  It should be noted that despite prescreening in the 2002 U.S. program, over 200 pregnancies were discovered post-vaccine, with unknown consequences to the fetuses (Napolitano, 2004).

      Due to the aforementioned side effects, extensive screening must be completed in any smallpox vaccination scenario.  Those ineligible for the vaccine include: those with skin conditions and weak immune systems (e.g. HIV, chemotherapy), pregnant or possibly pregnant women, child under 12 months of age, individuals with heart conditions, and those with certain blood disorders (e.g. diabetes) (“Smallpox Fact Sheet”, 2005).

Conclusion/Recommendations

Smallpox Vaccination Should be Voluntary in the 21st Century

      In a world that’s seemingly growing more dangerous each day, the chance of smallpox falling into the wrong hands could be catastrophic.  At the same time however, state officials and citizens must realize that it is only a “chance” that terrorists have the virus, not a certainty.  When vaccination campaigns are used solely as contingency measures, safety and side effects of vaccination become paramount.  According to the previously mentioned data, out of the United States’ population of almost 300 million, 15,000 people would suffer life threatening side effects in a nationwide vaccination campaign.  Out of these 15,000, it is likely that 1,200 would die from complications.  Due to this high number of likely smallpox vaccine related deaths, a recommendation to always keep the vaccine completely voluntary to the public, regardless of information obtained by the government must be made.  It seems to us unfair and unreasonably risky to force citizens to risk their lives for an event that may never come.  Intense screening for those who choose to be vaccinated, to help curb potentially deadly reactions and side effects is also recommended.  Finally, medical, scientific, and public communities must be reeducated on the disease, making future decisions on vaccination and contingency actions more educated and prudent. 

 

 

 

 

Glossary

ankyloblepharon – sticking together of the eyelids

bifurcated – divided into two parts (e.g. tongue of a snake)

cowpox – original virus used in smallpox vaccines by Edward Jenner

 ectropion – rolling outward of the eyelid

eczema – noncontiguous skin condition characterized by red, itchy, scaly skin

encephalitis – inflammation of the brain

immunogenic – capable of producing an immune response in the body

myopericarditis – inflammation of the cardiac muscle, causing a drop in blood flow

pustule – swelling of the skin, usually filled with pus

vaccinia – virus used in modern smallpox vaccines, closely related to smallpox

variola – virus that causes smallpox

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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